The southwest monsoon is likely to be normal in north and south India, above-normal in central India and below-normal in east and northeast India, the MeT department said on Tuesday.
Releasing its Second Long Range Forecast for Southwest Monsoon 2021, India Meteorological Department (IMD) Director General Mrutunjay Mohapatra said that the monsoon this year is likely to be normal in the country as a whole.
“Monsoon likely to be above-normal in central India, normal in north & south India, and below-normal in northeast India,” said Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, director-general of the state-run India Meteorological Department (IMD) as quoted by PTI.
It is likely to be in the range of 96-104 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA), Mr. Mohapatra said.
“Southwest Monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be normal (96 to 104 per cent of Long Period Average (LPA).
“Quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 101 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of plus or minus 4 per cent,” he said.
The LPA of the season rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1961-2010 is 88 cm.
Monsoon onset over Kerala is likely to take place around June 3, IMD said on Monday, adding that monsoon presently was passing across Sri Lanka and had been there for two days.
The monsoon season, which begins on June 1, is crucial for summer crops and brings about 70% of India’s annual rainfall. It is critical to the country’s agriculture, which is one of the mainstays of its economy. Nearly half of India’s population depends on a farm-based livelihood.